Dane szczegółowe książki

Summary and Recommendations 9
Summary 9
Recommendations 14
General Long-Term Recommendations 14
Recommendations for Development and Governance 17
Recommendations for Conflict Prevention 20
Regional Assessment 24
Recent Political and Economic Developments 24
Political Situation 28
General Political Evolution 28
Political and Economic Reform Processes in The Region 33
Foreign Relations 36
Political And Economic Relations with Sweden. 42
Regional security: Changes after 9/11 42
Human Rights and Civil Society 46
Human Rights 48
Ethnic and Religious Minorities 50
Gender Issues 54
Civil Society and Media 56
Economic Development 60
Structural Reforms. 62
Transport and Communications: The 'Silk Road' 65
Social Development, Health, Poverty 68
Refugees and IDPs 68
Poverty and Poverty Reduction 70
Health 72
Education 74
Environmental Issues 76
Pollution 76
The Caspian Sea 78
Deforestation 78
Medzamor 78
Measures 79
Ongoing Activities of Donors 80
USAID Activities 80
Multilateral Donors 82
Bilateral donors 86
Conflict and Security Assessment 87
Current Status of Active and Potential Conflicts and Security Threats 91
Ethnic Relations and Ethnic Conflicts 91
Ongoing Conflicts 93
Processes and Situation in Minority Areas 97
Civil Conflicts and Political Violence 103
Transnational Threats 105
Narcotics and Arms Trafficking 106
Islamic Radicalism 109
The Pankisi Gorge 111
The Zaqatala Region 112
Geopolitical Competition and External Threats 113
Roles and Interests of Regional Powers 114
Competition over Natural Resources 119
Dangers for Future Instability 121
General Aggravating Factors 122
Weak State Structures 123
Dire Socio-Economic Conditions 124
Political Culture 125
Great Power Meddling 125
Narcotics and Terrorism 127
Specific Sources of Concern 127
Risk of new war between Azerbaijan and Armenia 128
Risk of armed conflict in Javakheti 131
Risk of resumption of hostilities in Abkhazia 133
Risk of succession struggles degenerating into civil conflict 135
Risk of Russian intervention under alleged terrorism framework 137
Risk of strengthening of Islamic radicalism 139
The Role of Development Assistance in Conflict Management 139
Glossary 147
Maps 150
Map 1: Political Boundaries in the Caucasus 150
Map 2: Topography of the Caucasus 151
Map 3: Ethnic Settlement Patterns in Armenia and Azerbaijan, 1989 151
Map 4: Military Control Along Cease-Fire Line Between Armenia and Azerbaijan 152
Map 5: Northeastern Areas of Azerbaijan 153
Map 6: Southeastern Areas of Azerbaijan 153
Map 7: Administrative Divisions in Georgia 155
Map 8: Ethnic/Political Map of Georgia 155
Map 9: Ethnic Settlement Patterns, Georgia, 1994 156
Map 10: Samtskhe-Javakheti 156
Map 11: Kvemo Kartli 157
Map 12: Abkhazia 157
Map 13: Oil and Gas Deposits in Azerbaijan's Sector of the Caspian Sea 158
Map 14: Oil and Gas Transportation Pipelines, Existing and Proposed 158
Statistical Appendix 159
Table 1: Basic Economic Indicators 159
Table 2: Export and Import of Goods, Balance 159
Table 3: Imports by Geographical Area, 2001 160
Table 4: Exports by Geographical Area, 2001 160
Table 5: GDP per Person in US $ 160
Table 6: Structure of Industry, 2000 162
Table 7: Index of Investments to Fixed Capital 162
Table 8: Electricity Production per Capita, 2001 162
Table 9: Infant Mortality per 1000 Births 164
Table 10: Number of Telephones per 100 Persons, 2000 164
Table 11: Consumption of Selected Foodstuffs per Person 164
Table 12a-c: Changes in Nominal Earnings and Consumer Prices, to Previous Year 166
Table 13: Population Age Groups, 2000 167
Table 14: Rural/Urban Population Distribution, 2000 167
Table 15: Average Monthly Wages 168
Table 16: Average Monthly Pensions 168
Bibliographical Appendix 170
Biographies of Contributors 179